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How close is it to overcall?

#1 User is offline   phoenix214 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 13:54



Title - How close of on an overcall this is? IMP scoring.
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#2 User is offline   billw55 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 14:14

I pass. If my partner made a call over 2, I would expect more than this, and particularly a more solid suit.

That said, I have seen worse.
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#3 User is offline   Hyperon 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 14:14

I would feel more comfortable when I had an opening...
...so for me at least J is missing.
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#4 User is offline   eagles123 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 14:16

I'd bid, passing could easily lead to a double game swing imo
"definitely that's what I like to play when I'm playing standard - I want to be able to bid diamonds because bidding good suits is important in bridge" - Meckstroth's opinion on weak 2 diamond
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#5 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 14:25

2S. Is this really a worse hand than a minimum 5332?
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#6 User is offline   Hyperon 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 14:53

View Postgwnn, on 2016-May-27, 14:25, said:

2S. Is this really a worse hand than a minimum 5332?


The given hand on its own is not better or worse by definition. It would be worse than a 5332 opposite a partner that has all points in the red suits for example.

Knowing there are approximately 24 HCP that have yet to bid, you expect more bidding coming and it could get embarrasing. You need to draw a line somewhere.
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#7 User is offline   eagles123 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 15:02

View PostHyperon, on 2016-May-27, 14:53, said:

The given hand on its own is not better or worse by definition. It would be worse than a 5332 opposite a partner that has all points in the red suits for example.

Knowing there are approximately 24 HCP that have yet to bid, you expect more bidding coming and it could get embarrasing. You need to draw a line somewhere.


edited
"definitely that's what I like to play when I'm playing standard - I want to be able to bid diamonds because bidding good suits is important in bridge" - Meckstroth's opinion on weak 2 diamond
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#8 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 15:12

I'd probably pass with a dub heart.
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#9 User is offline   Hyperon 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 15:15

View Posteagles123, on 2016-May-27, 15:02, said:

yes it could be embarrasing when it goes p 4h all pass and pard has some boring hand where 4s is cold. honestly i think passing is terrible.


I can think of many terrible auctions for us as well after 2. It does not prove anything.

My bet is that you will have on average a worse score when bidding on this compared to passing. I'd hope we can get a simulation by someone.
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#10 User is offline   mikestar13 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 15:21

I pass this one, my concern is we may get too high if partner has a good hand and expects more. Switch the red suits and I bid 2.
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#11 User is offline   WesleyC 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 20:16

With a singleton heart I think 2S would be automatic. With a doubleton I might lean towards pass but it's certainly close.
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#12 User is offline   SteveMoe 

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Posted 2016-May-27, 23:23

I put about 25 HCP between LHO and partner. Pass. Bidding is far from over.
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#13 User is offline   nekthen 

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Posted 2016-May-28, 02:02

This hand is why Leaping Michaels was invented. Get the hand off your chest with 4, then pass for the rest of the auction with a clear conscience. If you are not playing this, I think you have to pass.
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#14 User is offline   eagles123 

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Posted 2016-May-28, 02:28

View Postnekthen, on 2016-May-28, 02:02, said:

This hand is why Leaping Michaels was invented. Get the hand off your chest with 4, then pass for the rest of the auction with a clear conscience. If you are not playing this, I think you have to pass.


the hand is nowhere near strong enough for leaping mike, it's either 2s or pass. 4c would be an insane overbid.
"definitely that's what I like to play when I'm playing standard - I want to be able to bid diamonds because bidding good suits is important in bridge" - Meckstroth's opinion on weak 2 diamond
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#15 User is offline   notproven 

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Posted 2016-May-28, 08:26

Bidding in direct seat is insane (pass out seat is another matter entirely) if you are playing any standard American system. A bid in direct seat promises (as Eddie Kantar writes) "a solid opening hand, in blood." Bidding 2 because you would open such a hand 1 is contrary to standard bidding principles, because you would only open such a hand as a kind of pre-empt (to use up the one level). To overcall 2 would therefore be "pre-empting over a pre-empt;" not standard practice.

I won't criticize players who do bid 2, if they have special agreements with partner and appropriately alert them. It can work well, but only if the partnership has ways to get out at a low level if fourth seat has a moderate hand. If you spring a 2 bid, or any bid, with this hand on a partner who isn't expecting it, you'll probably be looking for a new partner.

In the pass out seat, I'd overcall this hand without hesitation.
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#16 User is offline   johnu 

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Posted 2016-May-28, 10:27

View Postnekthen, on 2016-May-28, 02:02, said:

This hand is why Leaping Michaels was invented. Get the hand off your chest with 4, then pass for the rest of the auction with a clear conscience. If you are not playing this, I think you have to pass.


I don't think so. You are forcing your side to the 4 level with a hand that a large percentage of players don't think is worth a 2 overcall. Common expert practice is that leaping Michaels shows a strong playing hand. If you were playing Leaping Michaels and made one on this hand, it's highly unlikely you would end up in a makeable game because partner would put you in a slam on most hands when they have enough to make game.
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#17 User is offline   nekthen 

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Posted 2016-May-28, 12:13

I guess I stand corrected. imho if you are going to wait for a hand that strong you will wait forever. As previously pointed out, the next bid you hear will be 4, which will be passed out, probably for an average score. I think that if partner knows what to expect (mine does) (not at red), he is in a much better position to judge what to do with 4, and we have put more pressure on North who has no chance to be scientific.
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#18 User is offline   forgo 

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Posted 2016-May-28, 13:39

pass. there is going to be more bidding on this hand... to bid now would be to mislead p
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#19 User is offline   ggwhiz 

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Posted 2016-May-28, 13:50

How close? NOT

When partner bids game on a great hand and you go for a number they tend to not be happy.
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#20 User is offline   Caitlynne 

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Posted 2016-May-28, 15:21

If you have a two suited overcall gadget that shows the black suits, I would use it here. Marshall Miles advised in one of his books - and I confess I agree with him - that when the opponents make a weak 2 bid and you are two suited, (1) getting to the right strain is more important than getting to the right level and (2) you have a good likelihood of finding a fit. Given that, it seems best to bid.

If you don't have a two suited overcall gadget, I think you have to pass. Bidding only one of your suits is too risky in terms of finding a fit. What's more, partner expects sound opening honor values for an overcall of a weak 2 bid and your 8 HCP just does not come close enough to that to risk misleading partner about your values.
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