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lead problem

#1 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-March-27, 17:37


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#2 User is offline   wyman 

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Posted 2012-March-27, 17:55

I'd just lead a normal count card in spades (rather than an honor, so that if there's a stiff in dummy maybe declarer won't be able to place the spade honors and will misguess the clubs).
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#3 User is offline   BunnyGo 

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Posted 2012-March-28, 00:45

I'd lead a heart. I actually think there's good merit to all 3 of them--for different reasons.
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#4 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2012-March-28, 02:51

The chance that heart tricks are vanishing looks greater then the chance that spade tricks are even avaiable. So I try the systemic hearts.
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More system is not the answer...
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#5 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-March-28, 16:36

I look at my watch. If the seconds are 0-29 I will play Q on first round. If 30-59 I will play J on first round. OK, now I lead, uhm.... a heart?
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#6 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2012-March-28, 16:57

I would lead a trump. No strong feeling particularly, but it seems like they might just not have enough tricks. I mean they both took NF actions at the 3 level (3C, passing 3S) so I think partner might have a pretty decent hand.
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#7 User is offline   BunnyGo 

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Posted 2012-March-29, 00:48

View Postmgoetze, on 2012-March-28, 16:36, said:

I look at my watch. If the seconds are 0-29 I will play Q on first round. If 30-59 I will play J on first round. OK, now I lead, uhm.... a heart?



I've wondered if using a watch as a randomizing device is legal.
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#8 User is offline   Cthulhu D 

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Posted 2012-March-29, 01:33

What a tell though - if oppo knows you

Edit: why not use if the board number is even or odd to? Could also use if you or opps are vul or not. Even better as the board will be infront of you. Or low if even and vul or odd and not vul
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#9 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-March-29, 02:15

View PostCthulhu D, on 2012-March-29, 01:33, said:

What a tell though - if oppo knows you


it matters much less than you think. if you always played the jack from QJ you would make almost exactly the same number of tricks, I think it was 12/13 than you make for playing totally random.
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#10 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2012-March-29, 02:18



spade jack is not good enough, partner wins K and afraid of declarer having Qxx switched to K. 2 is the card that beats the contract.
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#11 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2012-March-29, 07:24

I think you should get a better partner. He was playing you for something like J10xx xxx Jxxx Qx. That doesn't look like a 2 bid to me.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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