HighLow21, on 2012-January-31, 18:03, said:
Introduction of Bridge Analysis A new blog for the serious intermediate
#41
Posted 2012-February-03, 18:32
#42
Posted 2012-February-03, 19:07
In reference to my decision about my self-assigned skill level --> the point I was trying to illustrate is that it was not a rash decision. It was very carefully, painstakingly decided upon. Are there some self-assigned Intermediates who are better than me? Certainly. Are there self assigned Experts who I am better than? I am playing against one right now. Does it really matter? No, not really.
All I ask is that you judge me on the quality of my blog and my insights here, to the extent that you are not familiar with my play.
#43
Posted 2012-February-03, 19:32
Here's a snippet from today's blog post on Voids:
OFFENSE EXAMPLES WITH A VOID
Slam is great here. As long as you find the Q♠, which you will at least 89% of the time, the 21 HCP slam only requires that clubs behave. All in, about a 73% slam.
How often will you make the game on 15 HCP? About 80% of the time. How often will this be doubled, especially if N/S opened the bidding? Oh, probably about half the time I would imagine.
THE DEFENSIVE ARGUMENT
A void also means that, provided that the opponents win the auction, you often have great defensive potential.
One possibility is that you can take as many as 4 ruffs in your hand to start the defense when partner has the opening lead and 3 entries. What fun for them to have their 4 side suit winners ruffed by you. Especially if they bid a suit game and you doubled for penalties.
...
Topics covered:
- Probability of a deal containing a void.
- Probability of a deal containing TWO voids.
- Offense Examples w/ a void.
- Defensive value of a void.
- Full writeup and analysis of a double-void hand I played.
- Bergen, Cohen, Lawrence, LOTT, Hand Evaluation and more.
#44
Posted 2012-February-03, 22:32
mikeh, on 2012-February-01, 10:29, said:
My biggest coup will be the universal rights to 'x'. Still working on that.
You do not! I spoke to the President of Lao yesterday. He assured me that I still have total rights to the 6♠ here! So back off!
#45
Posted 2012-February-04, 01:27
MrAce doesn't have to defend me because I was indeed making fun of the author. I must admit that if I met an advanced player who kept telling experts how good is he and that they have no idea of how to play bid (see the BBF thread about a double of 5D), I would probably make fun of him in real life as well. I don't know many people like that though.
- hrothgar
#46
Posted 2012-February-04, 01:45
- hrothgar
#47
Posted 2012-February-04, 07:03
han, on 2012-February-04, 01:27, said:
Do you remember what it is called?
#48
Posted 2012-February-04, 09:07
- hrothgar
#49
Posted 2012-February-04, 09:50
han, on 2012-February-04, 01:45, said:
Han,
I said "probably," as in, "I haven't really thought through the issue fully because I'm moving on to another thought right now." :-) After the opponents take the tricks they are entitled to their exit card options become limited fairly quickly. For example if I take A♠, ruff a spade, club to dummy, ruff another spade, and exit to East's A♥, his only safe exits are another trump or a high club. Let's say it's a trump. I ruff another club and play A♦ and then J♦. West has a host of not-very-comfortable cards to lead. A low diamond actually is probably best but he's fairly likely to give up a R/S or lead his other diamond without thinking. No guarantees, but the defenders have to play pretty well to avoid giving me #11.
#50
Posted 2012-February-04, 09:51
HighLow21, on 2012-February-04, 09:50, said:
I said "probably," as in, "I haven't really thought through the issue fully because I'm moving on to another thought right now." :-) After the opponents take the tricks they are entitled to their exit card options become limited fairly quickly. For example if I take A♠, ruff a spade, club to dummy, ruff another spade, and exit to East's A♥, his only safe exits are another trump or a high club. Let's say it's a trump. I ruff another club and play A♦ and then J♦. West has a host of not-very-comfortable cards to lead. A low diamond actually is probably best but he's fairly likely to give up a R/S or lead his
FMODP
#51
Posted 2012-February-06, 08:19
HighLow21, on 2012-February-03, 12:23, said:
Here is some official information you might find helpful:-
Quote
<snip>
Advanced
Someone who has been consistently successful in clubs or minor tournaments
I rate myself as intermediate because, until recently, I never entered any tournaments at all, so how can I possibly say I was consistently successful in them? It does not matter how I regard myself in comparison with other players on BBO. It is unfortunate that players are either ignorant of these guidelines or choose to ignore them and use their own assessments anyway. Do not expect anyone to applaud you for using your own personal assessment when BBO guidelines explicitly say not to, regardless of how much thought you put into the decision.
#52
Posted 2012-February-06, 16:41
Zelandakh, on 2012-February-06, 08:19, said:
I rate myself as intermediate because, until recently, I never entered any tournaments at all, so how can I possibly say I was consistently successful in them? It does not matter how I regard myself in comparison with other players on BBO. It is unfortunate that players are either ignorant of these guidelines or choose to ignore them and use their own assessments anyway. Do not expect anyone to applaud you for using your own personal assessment when BBO guidelines explicitly say not to, regardless of how much thought you put into the decision.
OK thanks for this --> where did you get the quotation from?
#53
Posted 2012-February-06, 16:45
#54
Posted 2012-February-06, 18:07
HighLow21, on 2012-February-06, 16:45, said:
Either you are successful or you are not. Although lots of players feel that they are very good players and that it is a shame that this is not reflected in their results...
#55
Posted 2012-February-06, 19:25
Vampyr, on 2012-February-06, 18:07, said:
Meh, successful is a meaningless word in this context as it is a comparison of results against expectations and everyone occasionally does better then expected.
#56
Posted 2012-February-06, 20:37
dwar0123, on 2012-February-06, 19:25, said:
I think the guideline uses the word "consistently". So, are you nearly always in the top 1/3, top 1/4, top 3 at your local club? Are you often in the single digits of rank at small tournaments or the top 10% at large ones? etc. Everyone should be able to answer these questions.
#58
Posted 2012-February-08, 10:48
han, on 2012-February-04, 01:27, said:
Thread appeared again in New Contents. Wow.
#59
Posted 2012-February-14, 22:57
http://bridgeanalysi...-100-hands.html
I went through 100 hands I've played on BBO with a fine-toothed comb, looking for mistakes and examples of good, bad, and ugly play, defense, and bidding. This article details my findings. There is quite a bit to talk about!
Please feel free to send me any feedback, good bad or indifferent!
Thanks,
-Tate
#60
Posted 2012-February-15, 07:23
-- Bertrand Russell