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simple magazine hand probably too simple

#1 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2011-December-17, 06:37

Another magazine hand that I found interesting:-

West leads ♦Q, East gives the ♦2


This hand comes from a card-counting article. The solution is to win ♦K, draw trumps in 3 rounds (East discards 3 hearts) and then play 3 rounds of clubs. If East follows 3 times then play them for 0733 shape and drop West's ♦Q, if only twice then 0742 and finesse in diamonds twice since West led from a singleton.

What is not mentioned in the article is the possibility that West led from ♦QJ7, where a simple surrounding play will work. We have to make this decision at trick 1 since we cannot pick up J972 with East if the first trick is won with the ♦A.

How would you play the hand? and is it clear which line is best?
(-: Zel :-)
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#2 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2011-December-17, 08:02

QJ7 most likelly, not close IMO
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#3 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2011-December-17, 10:53

I don't agree with this. QJ7 is a horrible holding to lead from on this auction, I'd have thought a heart was much safer.
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#4 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2011-December-18, 06:43

True, but singleton queen isn't very attractive either - is he playing his partner for ♠A?
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#5 User is offline   TWO4BRIDGE 

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Posted 2011-December-18, 08:39

Here is a "resulting senario".

Stiff Q would be a horrible lead.

If West had the Q-J doubleton (or the stiff J), leading the J would be better ( IMO
edit: since there is a much lower probability of partner holding the Ace because of his preemptive opening ) .

Thus, since the Q was actually led, I would deduce it was from Q J x .

This post has been edited by TWO4BRIDGE: 2011-December-18, 09:47

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