Posted 2008-June-12, 09:39
1. Our green opponents haven't reraised and we have the death holding in hearts. What are the chances pard has a doubleton heart here? Obviously if he does, we need the rest of the deck, or some finesses to win to make 11 tricks.
a. KQxx x AKxx KQxx - 5♦ is great
b. KQxx xx AKx AQJx - 5♦ is still great on the bidding; 4♠ is too
c. KQx xx AKxx AKxx - 10 tricks is the limit, but our best profit is defending 3♥ I think.
d. Kxxx x AKxx AQxx - very close, but I think you want to be in game here.
If you think pard would be making a r/w reopening double on something like Kxxx x AJxx AQxx, then you should have a discussion, but notice opposite something this lite, game still has a play.
I've convinced myself that 5♦ is right, but I don't expect it to be cold by any means.
2.RHO didn't raise, so I'm putting pard on a dub spade. Thats bad news. We have a void club with the opponents silent in the suit. wastage is possible. If I had to guess, pard's pattern seems to be 2=3=4=4, although some similar ones like 1=3=5=4 and 2=3=5=3 are also in range. Are there hands that would pass 3♦ where we might make game? it really depends on pard's wastage in clubs, which we have no real idea about.
I'll make the value bid of 3♦ and see where it leads me. The auction isn't over.
"Phil" on BBO
1H - Dbl - 3H - p
p - Dbl - p - ??