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You asked for 12

#1 User is offline   pescetom 

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Posted 2022-February-06, 16:11

So you get 12

Can anyone explain what happens at trick 11?
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#2 User is online   smerriman 

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Posted 2022-February-06, 18:40

Anyone? Yes.

But the only people that can don't :(

Can try to invent an explanation, like it rules out West having the K from the lead, thus double dummy says both a diamond and a club are +1 until half a trick later when suddenly it isn't, but Advanced GIB is programmed to avoid that type of logic, and we've already seen other cases where GIB chooses a card that is strictly worse than another card in every possible arrangement of cards.
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#3 User is offline   sfi 

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Posted 2022-February-06, 18:47

My first thought is "bid better" ;). But then I wondered what would happen if South had bid 7NT instead. Does anyone have the tools to test that?
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#4 User is offline   johnu 

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Posted 2022-February-06, 19:10

At trick 11, double dummy, 13 tricks are guaranteed by leading a diamond. If West has Q, finesse. If East has Q then it is doubleton since East is known to have K.

So declarer leads a diamond, West follows low, and now??? Panic!!! Should have cashed good club, oh no!?! Odds are 4 to 3 that East has Q, so play for the drop.
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#5 User is offline   pescetom 

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Posted 2022-February-07, 02:35

View Postjohnu, on 2022-February-06, 19:10, said:

At trick 11, double dummy, 13 tricks are guaranteed by leading a diamond. If West has Q, finesse. If East has Q then it is doubleton since East is known to have K.

So declarer leads a diamond, West follows low, and now??? Panic!!! Should have cashed good club, oh no!?! Odds are 4 to 3 that East has Q, so play for the drop.

Ok, but surely T will also show 13 tricks double dummy. Is there is no single dummy override, even with just 3 tricks remaining? It would only be a few lines of code if based entirely on top tricks (which would be sufficient here), a few pages if you want it to unblock and pull suit (I seem to remember reading that there is already something similar in the claim evaluation mechanism).
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#6 User is online   smerriman 

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Posted 2022-February-07, 02:49

The GIBson algorithm kicks in after the first 2 tricks (or maybe it's 3; definitely less than 10) for the advanced robots so as mentioned earlier that's not really a valid explanation.
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#7 User is online   pilowsky 

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Posted 2022-February-07, 03:43

On a side note, robots sometimes replace humans mid-hand.
Does the replacement GIB get to peek at the played tricks or do they suffer the same disadvantage as human subs?
Fortuna Fortis Felix
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#8 User is offline   pescetom 

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Posted 2022-February-07, 07:10

View Postsfi, on 2022-February-06, 18:47, said:

My first thought is "bid better" ;)

I was tempted to do so but managed to resist ;) Partner is a robot and it's a MP tournament on BBO, after all: 6NT+1 would have been 92% and even 6NT= was 52%, to give you an idea.

With a human I would bid 3 over 2NT, expecting that to be game forcing and to elict 3 showing 3-card support: after that I could bid to 7NT in various ways with my regular partner, or use RKCB and vanilla Specific Kings to 7 with anyone else. But I've not tried bidding constructively with robot after a 2NT jump and I wasn't in a hurry to experiment - my impression based on previous traumatic experiences is that robot is not interested in responder's major and is likely to get over-excited during slam investigation too.
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#9 User is offline   pescetom 

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Posted 2022-February-07, 09:48

View Postpilowsky, on 2022-February-07, 03:43, said:

On a side note, robots sometimes replace humans mid-hand.
Does the replacement GIB get to peek at the played tricks or do they suffer the same disadvantage as human subs?


It's a good question, but I imagine the answer is that they get to peek, as this saves writing extra code.
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