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if we bid 2S the bidding isn't going to end. Rho will be doubling for take-out. we don't know if that's a good thing or not, but as partner didn't double or bid over 1NT we can assume they have at least an 8 card heart fit. if they can make 3H we might well be turning -90 or -120 into -140 pr even -170.
Matchpoints Bid or Not Possible Tank
#42
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Posted 2018-February-07, 05:54
wank, on 2018-February-07, 04:42, said:
if we bid 2S the bidding isn't going to end. Rho will be doubling for take-out. we don't know if that's a good thing or not, but as partner didn't double or bid over 1NT we can assume they have at least an 8 card heart fit. if they can make 3H we might well be turning -90 or -120 into -140 pr even -170.
This is certainly a far greater risk than opponents making a penalty double of 2♠.
As you say, we don't know whether it is a good thing to push them out of no trumps into their likely eight-card heart fit. Generally the hearts will need to play two tricks better than no trumps to make this a losing choice. Our hand is balanced and the evidence of the bidding so far suggests that other hands may be fairly balanced - so it seems a good gamble that hearts will not play two tricks better than no trumps.
The worrying case is if they can make exactly eight tricks in no trumps and nine tricks in hearts (only a one-trick differential)...