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question 3: alternate auctions
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MP sacrifice?
#1
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Posted 2016-July-11, 11:05
Matchpoints.
question 1:
question 2:
question 3: alternate auctions
question 1:
question 2:
question 3: alternate auctions
#2
- Experimental biddicist
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Posted 2016-July-11, 13:51
I don't think I'd bid on on any of them. We need several things to be true for it to score well:
1) 5♠ has to be making
(or 1.1, 6♦ has to be, but that seems so remote as to be ignorable)
2) 6♦ has to be at most 2/3 down
3) They have to not be bidding and making 6♠ when we push them
and
4) Few people in the room can be buying it in 5♦(x) - if they are, we're already marked for a bottom
1 seems reasonably likely, but hard to be tremendously confident in, presuming our 2NT can be a wide range of strengths.
2 again seems pretty likely, but far from certain
3 is probably the factor I'm most scared of. If they need trumps to behave, they will be. This is probably a bigger factor when we're NV, as either opp looking at xx in Ds might not have placed their P with definite shortage, but after a 6/5 bid they'll surely be able to (also, if they're reasonably confident they're not beating it by 4 tricks and that they were making 5♠, they might be forced into bidding it just to give themselves a chance to avoid a bottom)
4 is really hard to judge the odds of, and probably requires a bit of opp-reading - eg how long did E think before bidding 5♠? But I'm rarely going to be confident about this either way
1) 5♠ has to be making
(or 1.1, 6♦ has to be, but that seems so remote as to be ignorable)
2) 6♦ has to be at most 2/3 down
3) They have to not be bidding and making 6♠ when we push them
and
4) Few people in the room can be buying it in 5♦(x) - if they are, we're already marked for a bottom
1 seems reasonably likely, but hard to be tremendously confident in, presuming our 2NT can be a wide range of strengths.
2 again seems pretty likely, but far from certain
3 is probably the factor I'm most scared of. If they need trumps to behave, they will be. This is probably a bigger factor when we're NV, as either opp looking at xx in Ds might not have placed their P with definite shortage, but after a 6/5 bid they'll surely be able to (also, if they're reasonably confident they're not beating it by 4 tricks and that they were making 5♠, they might be forced into bidding it just to give themselves a chance to avoid a bottom)
4 is really hard to judge the odds of, and probably requires a bit of opp-reading - eg how long did E think before bidding 5♠? But I'm rarely going to be confident about this either way
The "4♥ is a transfer to 4♠" award goes to Jinksy - PhilKing
#3
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Posted 2016-July-11, 14:53
They've made the last guess. Don't undo that by stealing the last guess away from them. Pass.
Be the partner you want to play with.
Trust demands integrity, balance and collaboration.
District 11
Unit 124
Steve Moese
Trust demands integrity, balance and collaboration.
District 11
Unit 124
Steve Moese
#4
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Posted 2016-July-11, 15:20
What are my agreements on the strength of the UNT ? Depending on the answer to that I might have bid 6 last time (I'm not going to do it now).
#5
- Limit bidder
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Posted 2016-July-11, 15:42
I would have bid 6D the first time round. Or possibly 5C to tempt partner to lead the ace of clubs against 6S.
#6
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Posted 2016-July-11, 18:13
SteveMoe, on 2016-July-11, 14:53, said:
They've made the last guess. Don't undo that by stealing the last guess away from them. Pass.
That pretty much covers it.
FrancesHinden, on 2016-July-11, 15:42, said:
I would have bid 6D the first time round. Or possibly 5C to tempt partner to lead the ace of clubs against 6S.
I would only be willing to bid 6♦ non-vul vs vul.
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