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Misinformation and damage - but adjusted score?

#61 User is offline   pran 

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Posted 2014-February-14, 13:46

View Postblackshoe, on 2014-February-14, 10:56, said:

[...]
After a lot of back and forth with various people I reluctantly accepted the alternate interpretation that the "discretion" doesn't exist unless the pertinent pair was already having a game greater than 60% or less than 40% - but I've never really believed that's what the law says, and I still don't.
[...]


Yes, that is exactly what the laws say, and also what is intended!

When artificial adjusted scores are required a contestant not at fault shall not loose, and a contestant at fault shall not gain from being awarded AAS instead of real scores.

And in such cases loss and gain shall be relative to (based on) their respective averages over the session.

Thus, a contestant with an average of 65% over the session shall be guaranteed 65% on any AAS because of an irregularity during that session for which he is not at all at fault.
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#62 User is offline   pran 

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Posted 2014-February-14, 13:59

View Postblackshoe, on 2014-February-14, 10:56, said:

[...]
There is another interesting aspect of Law 12C2: if both pairs are having, say, a 65% game, you cannot give the OS less than 40%, except in the ACBL, where the NOS will get their alloted 65%, and the NOS will get 35%. IOW, the ACBL has mandated that the scores must balance. [...]

I don't care what ACBL may have mandated, but Law 12C2c is clear that (initially) balanced artificial adjusted scores shall be modified for contestants not at fault having a session average higher than 60% and for contestants at fault having a session average lower than 40%.

So clearly artificial adjusted scores need not Balance.
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#63 User is offline   blackshoe 

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Posted 2014-February-14, 14:13

View Postaxman, on 2014-February-14, 12:58, said:

I have spent some time parsing L12C2 and am quite fascinated. In part [for example] C2a provides that an art score for the NOS may be [since it must be at least 60%] ANY thing greater than 60% except [C2c] when his session score is more than 60% [in which case his score is EXACTLY his session percentage]. To put a fine point on it, the art score can be 200% or 236% or…. So long as the session score of the other boards is not greater than 60%.

I thus see no valid reason to believe the argument that convinced you otherwise.

I would never propose to carry adjustments to such ridiculous extremes, and I think reading the law as allowing it is nuts.
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#64 User is offline   blackshoe 

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Posted 2014-February-14, 14:15

View Postpran, on 2014-February-14, 13:59, said:

I don't care what ACBL may have mandated, but Law 12C2c is clear that (initially) balanced artificial adjusted scores shall be modified for contestants not at fault having a session average higher than 60% and for contestants at fault having a session average lower than 40%.

So clearly artificial adjusted scores need not Balance.

Yes, that's true - anywhere but in the ACBL. You may not care, since you don't have to rule here, but I do. I'm not going to make an illegal ruling here just because it's legal in the rest of the world.
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#65 User is offline   axman 

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Posted 2014-February-14, 14:48

View Postblackshoe, on 2014-February-14, 14:13, said:

I would never propose to carry adjustments to such ridiculous extremes, and I think reading the law as allowing it is nuts.


Applying law as written is not ridiculous; conversely, writing such law is bad form.
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#66 User is offline   pran 

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Posted 2014-February-14, 23:55

View Postpran, on 2014-February-14, 13:59, said:

I don't care what ACBL may have mandated, but Law 12C2c is clear that (initially) balanced artificial adjusted scores shall be modified for contestants not at fault having a session average higher than 60% and for contestants at fault having a session average lower than 40%.

So clearly artificial adjusted scores need not Balance.


View Postblackshoe, on 2014-February-14, 14:15, said:

Yes, that's true - anywhere but in the ACBL. You may not care, since you don't have to rule here, but I do. I'm not going to make an illegal ruling here just because it's legal in the rest of the world.


I agree with you and appreciate your position.

An interesting question (although not really worth discussing) is what power ACBL claims to mandate a procedure that apparently violates Law 12C2c?

(The Powers given to Regulating Authorities in Law 12C1 do not extend to Law 12C2!)
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#67 User is offline   blackshoe 

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Posted 2014-February-15, 00:06

View Postpran, on 2014-February-14, 23:55, said:

I agree with you and appreciate your position.

An interesting question (although not really worth discussing) is what power ACBL claims to mandate a procedure that apparently violates Law 12C2c?

(The Powers given to Regulating Authorities in Law 12C1 do not extend to Law 12C2!)

The ACBL owns the copyright for the "Laws of Duplicate Bridge" in the Western Hemisphere. The organization has always maintained that it can do what it wants with its version of the laws. As far as the ACBL is concerned, the procedure doesn't violate Law 12C2c, it is Law 12C2c - although it isn't quite written that way. The change (that "when there is an offending and a non-offending side" the scores must balance), is in a footnote to 12C2c.

As for it not being worth discussing, you're right - certainly nothing we might say here is going to change anything. B-)
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#68 User is offline   Trinidad 

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Posted 2014-February-15, 03:41

View Postsailoranch, on 2014-February-14, 13:43, said:

I don't get it. Is there any situation where the possible results are too numerous or not obvious enough to award an assigned score, but obvious enough and not too numerous to conclude that the NOS would matchpoint exactly 90%?

Just pick a result or weight several of them and give an assigned adjusted score, which is essentially what's happening in your mind anyway.

Take this particular case.

NS are the offending side. The table result (+100) is already a bad result for NS since the field will have reached a spade contract. Let's put a number on it and call it 30%. This score will only beat the NS pairs who went down in 4 when EW found the heart ruff (-100).

However, if EW would have gotten the correct information the result would have been even worse for NS. Perhaps the bridge result would have been 2-4 (-200), 3-5 (-250) or 4X-6 (-1400).

It is very difficult to say what the final contract and the bridge result would have been. It could have been either of the 3 above. We need to come up with weighting factors that are hard to determine.

However, it is easy to see what the MP score will be: All three bridge results will lead to a MP score of 0 for NS since none of them beats the score for 4-1.

So, in this case, though the possible bridge scores may be numerous, the MP scores aren't.

Rik
I want my opponents to leave my table with a smile on their face and without matchpoints on their score card - in that order.
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#69 User is offline   Trinidad 

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Posted 2014-February-15, 04:05

From a mathematical point of view I like the ACBL position of balancing the scores for Ave+ and Ave-.

Say that we have a club of average players who, against each other, will score 50%. One club night Helgemo-Helness pay a visit to this club. On the first 21 out of 22 boards they take one trick more than the rest of the field that consists of 6 tables. On each board the MP (in %) are:
- HH: 100%
- the rest: 40%

and

- HH's opponents: 0%
- the rest's opponents: 60%

So, if HH would do as expected on board 22 (take one more trick than the rest of the field) then they would win with a MP score of 100%.
The rest of the field would score 2x0%, 10x 60%, 10x40% for an average of 45.45%

However, on board 22, HH's opponents commit an infraction. Unfortunately, we have to assign an Artificial Adjusted Score (AAS):
HH: Ave+
Opponents: Ave-

For HH, this is easy: they will get their own 100% and score 100% over the evening.
For their opponents, it depends whether they are in the ACBL (when they get 0) or some where else (when they get 40%).

In the ACBL this would lead to a score of 45.45% for all other contestants. But in the rest of the world it would mean the offending pair scores: 10x 60%, 10x40%, 1x0% and 1x 40% for a score of 47.27%, beating all the other pairs!

The point is, of course, that if you are an average pair and play against a pair that scores over 60% then your expected score will be (100-the average score of your opponents), which is less than 40%.

Rik
I want my opponents to leave my table with a smile on their face and without matchpoints on their score card - in that order.
The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds the new discoveries, is not “Eureka!” (I found it!), but “That’s funny…” – Isaac Asimov
The only reason God did not put "Thou shalt mind thine own business" in the Ten Commandments was that He thought that it was too obvious to need stating. - Kenberg
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#70 User is offline   lamford 

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Posted 2014-February-15, 06:53

View Postgnasher, on 2014-February-10, 08:58, said:

WBFLC minutes 2003-11-09#2:
When there has been misinformation and a damaged side is to receive an adjusted score this should be assessed on the basis that the non-offending side is entitled to know the partnership understanding and to draw logical conclusions, given the information it received.
If given the correct information the partnership might or might not be aware that a misunderstanding had occurred, depending on the situation.


This thread has wandered off to discuss when and whether someone can get more than 60% if the possible auctions are too numerous. I would prefer to revisit the interpretation of the above, that one assigns a score assuming that one side only received correct information. If that were the case, why is there "might or might not" in the second paragraph? It seems to me that there is no right to know that a pair is having an misunderstanding, but if one learns that from the AI, this information is used in deciding what someone would bid.

This follows natural justice as well. It should not be beneficial for a pair to have a blank convention card. In this example, if NS had a card that showed that 2D was the majors, West looking at his hand and the card, would pretty much know that NS were having a misunderstanding. East would be in the same boat, and would pass it out. If NS had a blank convention card, West might still suspect something, but would probably still pass. East would not suspect anything and bid 2H. Therefore we should adjust in this case on the basis that "might be aware" applies not "might not be aware" applies. I think the WBFLC minute is being misinterpreted if you adjust on the basis that EW only received correct information, not both. And you provide an incentive to have blank convention cards.

In this example, when adjusting, if EW get a better score by passing out 2D, using all the AI, then this is what they should be deemed to do.
I prefer to give the lawmakers credit for stating things for a reason - barmar
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#71 User is offline   Trinidad 

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Posted 2014-February-15, 07:56

I think the "might" and "might not" be aware of the misunderstanding is very simple:

If the NOS learns about the misunderstanding only because of the misinformation, we adjust on the basis that they wouldn't have been aware of the misunderstanding. But if they learn about the misunderstanding from something else, e.g. one of the opponents making an impossible (or highly unlikely) bid, we adjust on the basis that they are aware of the misunderstanding.

Rik
I want my opponents to leave my table with a smile on their face and without matchpoints on their score card - in that order.
The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds the new discoveries, is not “Eureka!” (I found it!), but “That’s funny…” – Isaac Asimov
The only reason God did not put "Thou shalt mind thine own business" in the Ten Commandments was that He thought that it was too obvious to need stating. - Kenberg
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#72 User is offline   sailoranch 

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Posted 2014-February-15, 11:02

View PostTrinidad, on 2014-February-15, 03:41, said:

Take this particular case.

NS are the offending side. The table result (+100) is already a bad result for NS since the field will have reached a spade contract. Let's put a number on it and call it 30%. This score will only beat the NS pairs who went down in 4 when EW found the heart ruff (-100).

However, if EW would have gotten the correct information the result would have been even worse for NS. Perhaps the bridge result would have been 2-4 (-200), 3-5 (-250) or 4X-6 (-1400).

It is very difficult to say what the final contract and the bridge result would have been. It could have been either of the 3 above. We need to come up with weighting factors that are hard to determine.

However, it is easy to see what the MP score will be: All three bridge results will lead to a MP score of 0 for NS since none of them beats the score for 4-1.

So, in this case, though the possible bridge scores may be numerous, the MP scores aren't.

Rik


I don't see why you wouldn't award -1400 in the ACBL or a weighted score elsewhere. Of course the weighting factors are hard to determine because they are always somewhat arbitrary.

The MP scores would be super hard to be confident about if the board is yet to be played at another table. On the other hand, if the event is over and the weights don't affect the MP score at all, then why the need to resort to an artificial score at all when you could just commit to some weights and be done with it.
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#73 User is offline   sailoranch 

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Posted 2014-February-15, 11:20

View Postlamford, on 2014-February-15, 06:53, said:

This thread has wandered off to discuss when and whether someone can get more than 60% if the possible auctions are too numerous. I would prefer to revisit the interpretation of the above, that one assigns a score assuming that one side only received correct information. If that were the case, why is there "might or might not" in the second paragraph? It seems to me that there is no right to know that a pair is having an misunderstanding, but if one learns that from the AI, this information is used in deciding what someone would bid.

This follows natural justice as well. It should not be beneficial for a pair to have a blank convention card. In this example, if NS had a card that showed that 2D was the majors, West looking at his hand and the card, would pretty much know that NS were having a misunderstanding. East would be in the same boat, and would pass it out. If NS had a blank convention card, West might still suspect something, but would probably still pass. East would not suspect anything and bid 2H. Therefore we should adjust in this case on the basis that "might be aware" applies not "might not be aware" applies. I think the WBFLC minute is being misinterpreted if you adjust on the basis that EW only received correct information, not both. And you provide an incentive to have blank convention cards.

In this example, when adjusting, if EW get a better score by passing out 2D, using all the AI, then this is what they should be deemed to do.


This was discussed extensively in the topic I linked to earlier. I was taking your position, but the accepted view seems to be that the irregularity is the original instance of MI rather than the call based on MI. So in adjusting, the entire auction has to be reconstructed with the correct explanation rather than from a later point more beneficial to the NOS.
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#74 User is offline   barmar 

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Posted 2014-February-15, 11:24

View Postaxman, on 2014-February-14, 14:48, said:

Applying law as written is not ridiculous; conversely, writing such law is bad form.

Is it really necessary for the Laws to go into detail, explicitly prohibiting all forms of nonsense? Just because the Law may allow something, it doesn't mean that it's appropriate; it's meant to be applied by people with capacity for reason, and an appreciation for the history of the game and the spirit of the Laws.

#75 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2014-February-15, 11:46

View Postlamford, on 2014-February-15, 06:53, said:

This thread has wandered off to discuss when and whether someone can get more than 60% if the possible auctions are too numerous. I would prefer to revisit the interpretation of the above, that one assigns a score assuming that one side only received correct information. If that were the case, why is there "might or might not" in the second paragraph? It seems to me that there is no right to know that a pair is having an misunderstanding, but if one learns that from the AI, this information is used in deciding what someone would bid.

I think you should read the more recent minute posted by RSliwinski in post no 42. The word "only" in that minute makes the WBFLC's views uncharacteristically clear.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#76 User is offline   lamford 

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Posted 2014-February-16, 17:13

View Postgnasher, on 2014-February-15, 11:46, said:

I think you should read the more recent minute posted by RSliwinski in post no 42. The word "only" in that minute makes the WBFLC's views uncharacteristically clear.

I was already aware of that, but the more recent minute only allows a change of call (or a ruling based on a change of call) based on the correct information only. However, it does not say that a player may not be deemed to make the same call based on all the information he should have had or did have. Therefore, if EW would have done better by acting only on the correct information, they are deemed to do so. Here West does not want to change his call (or be deemed to change his call). East does, and wants to substitute Pass for 2H. It seems ludicrous to disallow this and to impose a different call on West when he does not want to change his call! In fact the TD usually asks the players what they would have done differently with the correct information. Here West answers, "Nothing" and East answers "I would have passed it out".

The purpose of the adjusted score is to provide redress where it is too late to change a call. If the MI had been discovered before East had passed it out (perhaps by East looking at the CC and asking why there was no alert), the TD would have invited West to change his call. He would have declined. Then East would have passed it out. Clearly the adjusted score should reflect what would have happened had it not been too late to offer a change of call. Whatever the minutes say.
I prefer to give the lawmakers credit for stating things for a reason - barmar
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#77 User is offline   pran 

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Posted 2014-February-17, 07:06

View Postlamford, on 2014-February-16, 17:13, said:

[...]
The purpose of the adjusted score is to provide redress where it is too late to change a call. If the MI had been discovered before East had passed it out (perhaps by East looking at the CC and asking why there was no alert), the TD would have invited West to change his call. He would have declined. Then East would have passed it out. Clearly the adjusted score should reflect what would have happened had it not been too late to offer a change of call. Whatever the minutes say.


Precisely !
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#78 User is offline   pran 

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Posted 2014-February-19, 11:15

Test to see if the forum is still alive.
More than 50 hours since last post.
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#79 User is offline   blackshoe 

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Posted 2014-February-19, 11:40

the forum is fine.
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#80 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2014-February-21, 09:15

View PostTrinidad, on 2014-February-10, 12:22, said:

The auction started

Let's assume that EW play Lebensohl. (Assumption)

What would double (of an artificial overcall) mean in this defensive method of yours? Even if this is takeout it seems to be a LA to pass intending to compete with 2NT over 2M so as to reach the better minor fit. If penalty (original Lebensohl) then we have a whole new set of questions to ask of the N-S agreements.
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