[SimonFa]

R v R. You deal.

Although its a GIB tournament it was a strong field when I checked just before play started with over 30 tables and most entrants BBO Masterpoints 5 or above.

♠ T843
♥ A97
♦ 73
♣ Q983

♠ AKJ
♥ T65
♦ AKQ964
♣ 4

1D (2H) P P
3D All pass

Opening lead ♥K

What's your decision on the spade finesse and why?

Spoiler

Turns out West had:

♠
♥ KQJ842
♦ 852
♣ K752

Taking the spade finesse is -1 for 40%, cashing makes for 80%

As always, thanks in advance,

Simon

PS Do you like the 3D bid?

[mgoetze]

SimonFa, on 2012-June-10, 05:17, said:

Although its a GIB tournament it was a strong field when I checked just before play started with over 30 tables and most entrants BBO Masterpoints 5 or above.

I'm sorry to say I don't agree with this conclusion. Robodups are very high variance and if you play them all day you will easily collect these Monsterpoints.

Quote

What's your decision on the spade finesse and why?

The bidding strongly indicates that it's on, and I expect most of the field to be in this contract, so I will take it.

Quote

PS Do you like the 3D bid?

I don't see much of an alternative?

[gszes]

MP is a different game from IMPS--we seem to have 9 tricks off the top
so taking the finesse at IMPS would be a poor decision at MP the % seem
to lie in favor of rho having the spade Q so taking the finesse is an odds-on
favorite to improve our MP score. odd=on means sometimes it will not work
that is life.

I am not happy with your 3d bid anytime p is balanced you have 8 tricks off
the top and since you have dia it is easy for you to correct 2s/3c to 3d. Here
p bids 2s and yhou bid 3d p then has an easy 3n bid. Your 3d bid can easily
be much weaker and more of a competitive type of hand similar to

Kx
xx
KQJTxxx
Kx

not the trick taking monster you have:)))

[han]

I would double 2H and then bid 3D, showing a better hand.

[mgoetze]

han, on 2012-June-11, 04:27, said:

I would double 2H and then bid 3D, showing a better hand.

Hm... I don't think GIB would understand.