Posted 2012-March-27, 10:12
With A98x would you lead the 9 or the lowest? If the lowest, then partner can safely play small from any Q-T holding at T1.
I would also think that partner can Smith to show you ♣Qxxx, as well as QTx. The lead from J9x would be odd on this bidding.
There are 17 between our hand and dummy's. If declarer has 15-18, then partner has 5 to 8, so its more likely declarer has 17-18 and partner a max 1♦ response.
I am more inclined to place the hearts 4-4 since with a maximum 1♦ response, partner might have competed to 2♥ with five fair ones and 5-6 points.
Therefore, declarer appears to have QJx(x) ???? Kx(x) ATx(x) and partner 8(x)2, ???? ?xx(x), Qx(x). Declarer will have about 7 points in hearts, leaving partner with about three, but a lot of this depends on the location of the ♦J.
Smashmouth defense would be a heart to partner's (hoped for) Ace, for a club through declarer's remaining Tx, but this is dependent on partner having three clubs, and the ♥A which seems like an unlikely parlay.
OTOH, a heart shift could work out very bad if declarer has something like QJx, AQJ9, Kxx ATx.
Ducking the 1st spade looks very bad in retrospect. I know its critical if declarer has ♠QJ dub (although I could duck the 2nd), but it seems I could have obtained the same information by winning the spades (K-A in that order to tell partner I do not like hearts), and retaining the option of defending passively. In addition, declarer might have been trying to set up a spade trick by force and playing a tricky Q from Qxx.
I do not like the position I am in since I am exposed to multiple endplays. Cashing my spade and leading a heart seems like the best bet - maybe partner has the magical Ace or KJTx.
Hi y'all!
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.