Poll: Adv Strong Hand Decl vs Adv Hiding Shape Theoretical Discussion
#1
Posted 2010-August-26, 15:01
3♣ = any minimum
3♦ = max with hearts
3♥ = max with spades
or reversed structure (where 3♣ is any max).
After 3♣ bidding 3♦ ask partner to show the suit he doesn't have (so strong hand declarer)
I don't agree with this, and this post has motivated me to explore my own minority theory that overall, having a weak, but distributional hand be declarer ie concealing the shape, number of a side suit for defence to cash etc, is overall, actually greater than the positional advantage etc of the strong hand being declarer.
Having, in the multi situation, the weak two as dummy, I find usually makes the defence very easy.
Votes, explanations and thoughts please.
#2
Posted 2010-August-26, 15:07
2♦ (multi) 2NT (ask)
3♣ (min) 3♦ (ask)
3♥/3♠
will be natural. My main argument was a bit different than yours. I didn't like ♠ cuebid being lost after 3♠ response. I agree with your "theory" though. I think that strong hand declaring is one of the most overrated things in bridge. In general the most important thing is that the hand which is better known from the bidding should be dummy. So for example 2♦ precision opening is better than 2♥ precision opening (because 4♥ puts opener's hand in dummy), 2♦ majors is probably better than 2♥ majors and so on.
Anyway, my partner after reviewing the notes said I must have made a mistake and he wanted to play the same way most people play here (with 3♥/3♠ showing the other suit)...
#5
Posted 2010-August-26, 16:53
Double-dummy, letting the lead come to the strong hand is a substantial advantage. There are many hands where you can make more tricks from one side than the other on best play and defense. Single-dummy, making a blind lead into the strong hand is even more likely to help the declaring side.
The main advantage of concealing the weak hand is that it can make it hard for opponents to figure out how many tricks to cash in various suits. However, good players usually can get this right based on partner's count signals, spot card leads, and declarer's line of play. Note that this never helps the declaring side double-dummy, and it rarely matters on the opening lead... it's more an issue of, late in the hand, how many tricks can the defenders cash in some side suit before they try to promote a trick somewhere else, without losing a tempo to declarer's ruff.
With all that said, the double-dummy advantage does depend on the location of particular honor cards, and there are certainly (rare) cases where the weak hand has more tenaces to protect. For this reason it does make sense to offer a choice of declarership in cases where it cannot otherwise cost.
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
#6
Posted 2010-August-26, 17:09
Quote
Interesting. I am simulation addict but I neglected this issue so far, gotta make some research. Did you make simulations to know it or it's just your intuition ?
#7
Posted 2010-August-26, 17:30
#8
Posted 2010-August-26, 21:48
After I open NT, I have a limited distribution set, with few possible "surprises". Responder, however, is totally undescribed (save the 5 or 6 known cards in the transfer suit). If there's going to be any distributional surprises, it's going to be in responder's hand.
After a multi-2D, neither hand is really distributionally limited. Responder's "surprises" are only somewhat less likely to exist than opener's (we know he's not flat, responder can be, but may not be). So in that case, there's no guaranteed "strong or distributional" choice to make. In other words, is it better for the strong, possibly distributional hand to be declarer, or the weak, more likely distributional hand?
If there's a way to design the system so that it's capable of getting to the contract from either side, without sacrificing effectiveness, great. If (as is more likely) this is a decision that has to be made at system design time, it's a different question than the 1NT one.
"...You may return to your desk." "Thank you." -- Serena vs. Mr. Arthur, "Paranormal Helpline", EGS:NP
#9
Posted 2010-August-26, 22:34
So, for example I have a NT bid and a NT xfer response to forcing opening.
Thus, the 6-suit signoff has KJx side when bid -- no tenace when xfer.
Why would into the stronger hand not be expected to gain? Jacoby transfers are 50 yo. Was this not seen forever?
#10
Posted 2010-August-26, 22:46
"Overall, Strong Hand concealed by a little bit"
are either being polite, or not very well informed.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#11
Posted 2010-August-26, 23:38
2♦ - ???
4♣ = Bid the suit beneath your suit.
4♦ = Bid your suit.
4♥ = Forget about your suit.
4♠ = Forget about your suit.
Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.
Best Regards Ole Berg
_____________________________________
We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:
- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.
Gnasher
#12
Posted 2010-August-27, 01:49
#13
Posted 2010-August-27, 03:10
Quote
"Overall, Strong Hand concealed by a little bit"
are either being polite, or not very well informed.
You make it sound like it's matter of getting information.
I doubt there are is any research on the matter and if it is it's not public.
We can only rely on our intuition which proved to be wrong so many times.
After running some simulations I am pretty it almost doesn't matter double dummy if strong or weakish hand is declaring so I think the only interesting point is in which situation defenders are more likely to make mistakes. The answer to that is far from obvious to me.
#15
Posted 2010-August-27, 03:59
bluecalm, on Aug 27 2010, 04:10 AM, said:
Quote
"Overall, Strong Hand concealed by a little bit"
are either being polite, or not very well informed.
You make it sound like it's matter of getting information.
I doubt there are is any research on the matter and if it is it's not public.
We can only rely on our intuition which proved to be wrong so many times.
After running some simulations I am pretty it almost doesn't matter double dummy if strong or weakish hand is declaring so I think the only interesting point is in which situation defenders are more likely to make mistakes. The answer to that is far from obvious to me.
Lol, you're allowed to use common sense. You can do all the double dummy simulations you want, but guess what, they're not going to lead into your tenaces in a double dummy simulation!
I'm sorry your intuition has proved you wrong so many times, but you are now trying to use double dummy simulations to prove that playing from the strong hand is irrelevant, that is just plain silly. Of course playing from the strong hand the opponents have more chance to blow a trick for themselves on the lead than leading through the strong hand. If you play bridge rather than simulate it, you will see this be true all the time in practice. Even when simulating you should try to use your head
Bluecalm, if you were not allowed to play SA transfers over 1N/2N, would you seriously play 4M natural and no texas? I really doubt it, and in that case your point is even better because the "weak hand" is stronger than a weak 2, and the "strong hand" is limited in shape and strength.
#16
Posted 2010-August-27, 04:34
#17
Posted 2010-August-27, 05:01
#18
Posted 2010-August-27, 05:13
And I bet that there are hands where a distributional surprise makes it much harder for the defence to defend.
But Multi is the wrong playground for your idea. You are very well limited and you shape is already quite well known. So the downsides are much much bigger then the possible gains.
But lets say you play weak NT, then it often pays to be able to bid a simple 4 M and let them guess. But in this case the distributional hand is not much weaker then openers hand.
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#19
Posted 2010-August-27, 07:28
Some of the strong Italians did this with their 12-14 NT:
1NT - 3♥/♠
simply showed a four card suit, and asked partner to bid 3NT or 4 of their suit.
Hides information about declarers hand, and inhibits a lot of lead directing interference. On a very frequent type of hands.
Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.
Best Regards Ole Berg
_____________________________________
We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:
- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.
Gnasher
#20
Posted 2010-August-27, 08:22
bluecalm, on Aug 27 2010, 05:10 AM, said:
Double dummy simulations are worthless in evaluating this type of question.
Edit: Agree with Justin. Short version.
So many experts, not enough X cards.

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