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Too much of a gamble? Maybe a WTP

#1 User is offline   kayin801 

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Posted 2009-November-24, 14:32

Scoring: IMP

Opps silent, you deal:
1-2
2-3
?

1 = 2+ suit, limited to 15
2 = forcing 1rd, natural
2 = balanced (but 3D would be bal min w/ 4-5 diamonds)
3 = inv, both minors, typically 54, almost always 1 major suit unstopped


We play 10-12 NT range in this seat, but most hands with 2 aces and 11 pts get opened 1D (if that info is relevant). Are you bidding on, or no? 3D is a signoff, bidding 3H or 3S would ASK for a stopper.
I once yelled at my partner for discarding the 'wrong' card when he was subjected to a squeeze that I allowed by giving the wrong count with too high a card. Now he's allowed to pitch aces when the opponents have the king in the dummy. At trick 2. When he could have followed suit. And blame me.

East4Evil sohcahtoa 4ever!!!!!1
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#2 User is offline   dake50 

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Posted 2009-November-24, 16:42

Punt 3NT. Hope hold-up works.

Did partner's 3C suggest 3NT is still a live possibility? Or 'my turn to bid'?

If I trust partner he IS inviting 3NT, so I try it with M-stops. If he is to trust me, this is just the hand he tried 3C to invite 3NT on.

I imagine something near S-xx H-Kx D-K10xxx C-AQxx Or D-KQxxx C-AKxx.
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#3 User is online   awm 

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Posted 2009-November-24, 18:51

It seems like your balanced range for 1 is usually 13-15. While this hand has aces, it is quite minimum in terms of high cards for that range.

It's also almost sure that we will be weak in at least one major given partner's shape and our holdings. We probably have five diamond tricks (perhaps on a finesse), two aces, and some possible tricks in clubs to develop. It seems game is unlikely to be better than 50% (either a finesse in diamonds, or needing the long spades to be in the opposite hand from a club loser), and there are plenty of constructions where game's a lot worse. There are some interesting hands where 5m is quite good (especially if partner is 5-5) but this seems tough to find.

I'd correct to 3. Aces are not as undervalued in notrump contracts as they are in suits.
Adam W. Meyerson
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
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#4 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2009-November-24, 22:29

Agree with Adam. 3D
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#5 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-November-25, 00:00

If pard could be 5-5, 4. If that's not expectable, 3. Certainly not 3NT.. even if hold up works, it's still only 8 tricks. And they might switch to the other major after 2 tricks in the bag :P
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