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Penalty doubles

#1 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-May-24, 14:17

Team game.

9865
K
1075
A10875

(p) - 1NT - (2S) - ??

You play penalty doubles, 1NT showed 15-17, 2S is natural. What's your call?
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#2 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-May-24, 14:48

Hi,

it is either pass or X, ... depending on mood I would
double, but it would be a terrible bid.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#3 User is offline   TimG 

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Posted 2008-May-24, 14:49

Pass. Game for our side is remote, especially now that the opponents have laid claim to the spade suit. Any plus score should be fine. The opponents likely have a better fit in hearts and a double might make it easier for them to get there.
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#4 User is offline   ArcLight 

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Posted 2008-May-24, 14:50

I think the downside (doubling into game) is too great. Its less tahn 50%, but its not miniscule.
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#5 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-May-24, 15:18

You really have to know your opponent for problems like this, against a random one I guess I pass but there are ones where I would double all day.

The vul too.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#6 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-May-24, 16:15

Good point, everybody was vulnerable.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#7 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-May-24, 17:21

I think doubling is very poor. RHO have should 6S and pard's Hx is poorly placed. One of our defensive assets (HK) is a precarious singleton. Its very easy to envision 8 tricks here.

If we beat it I will mentally thank RHO for taking us out of 1N with his source of tricks and probable entry.
"Phil" on BBO
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#8 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2008-May-24, 21:36

Pass. 9865 isn't that great and it's imps and we might even struggle to get our first 6 tricks.
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#9 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2008-May-24, 23:01

Obvious 2NT lebenshol, wtp??? Odds are huge that pard has 3 clubs.
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#10 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-May-24, 23:18

This hand came up today at the United States Women trials. There was no double at either table. One of the commentators pointed out that that meant that both pairs must be playing negative doubles, but for hands like this you'd wish you were playing penalty doubles.

I didn't think it was so clear. It is possible that the commentator was influenced by the fact that 2S went down 1 and down 2 at the table.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#11 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-May-24, 23:23

I'd pass.
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#12 User is offline   MarkDean 

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Posted 2008-May-28, 12:31

I would double. Maybe thiat is why all of my partners like to play negative doubles here...
Maybe I am influenced by the crap I overcall 2S on as well.
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#13 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2008-May-28, 13:36

I hope the commentator was joking.

Doubling is OK at matchpoints but the risks at IMPs far outweigh the rewards.

If I had to guess at a result of the hand, I would guess down one at 2S. So doubling isn't going to show much of a profit. Only if you can beat it 2 or more is doubling profitable. But if it makes, the double would be a disaster.
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#14 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2008-May-29, 04:42

wtp pass for me.
From Psych "I mean, Gus and I never see eye-to-eye on work stuff.
For instance, he doesn't like being used as a human shield when we're being shot at.
I happen to think it's a very noble way to meet one's maker, especially for a guy like him.
Bottom line is we never let that difference of opinion interfere with anything."
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#15 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2008-May-29, 13:53

Double would't enter my mind here, other calls might. Pass seems sensible though.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#16 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-May-29, 15:16

I'd pass.
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#17 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2008-May-29, 16:13

I saw the hand as it was played. I wouldn't go head hunting at IMPs with 4 weak trumps. Needing a swing at MP I'll X and lead my stiff K of .

2NT leb to 3 is possible as opener almost certainly has 3+, but I think passing it around to him is a little better.
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#18 User is offline   barryallen 

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Posted 2008-June-03, 07:53

whereagles, on May 25 2008, 12:01 AM, said:

Obvious 2NT lebenshol, wtp??? Odds are huge that pard has 3 clubs.

To Leb or not to Leb? You know you have no chance of bumping them into 3 so that extra is out. It also looks favourable that you will end up with a positive score either in 2 by them or 3 by yourself? But I would not take the risk and just pass. To double here just is asking to get kicked around the table by your team mates in the post match.
bridge is never always a game of exact, for those times it's all about percentages, partner and the opponents.
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#19 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-June-03, 14:55

I don't know, and don't want to know, who the commentator was. But, some commentators are relatively weak and prone to 'analyzing' based on seeing all the hands. Other commentators feel pressure to say something, and so type a comment without thinking it through and others exhibit elements of both weaknesses .. btw, I include myself in that category lest anyone think that I am being overly harsh on whoever made the comment in this case.

As it is, double seems to me to be borderline insane.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#20 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-June-03, 15:06

All,

You have SEVEN points, and FOUR spades. Even if partner has minimum holdings in both, combined you have TWENTY TWO points and SIX spades, and could have more! Not just that, but you have an ace and a king. These are quicktricks, and undervalued by the point system! So it is basically impossible for them to make with so few HCP AND spades AND quick tricks, making this a clear double.
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