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3nt lead

#1 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 04:42

BBO indy, MP, all red.

you deal and pass and opps bid:

1-1NT
2NT-3NT

what would you lead from

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Q9832
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?
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#2 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 06:09

4th highest of my longest and strongest
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#3 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 06:26

A passive lead. Not sure which but not a diamond.
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#4 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2007-July-10, 06:43

No offense to anyone but I consider not leading a diamond to be horrible.
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#5 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 06:59

seems useless imo, so I lead a .
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#6 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 07:01

I don't think that Opener has denied Ax, Kx, or even Jxx in diamonds.
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#7 User is offline   Walddk 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 07:03

FrancesHinden, on Jul 10 2007, 02:09 PM, said:

4th highest of my longest and strongest

I disagree strongly. I would lead my 5th best diamond ;)

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#8 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 07:55

All the Dutch seem to be leading 3/5 against NT too. I'm showing my American bridge roots and lead my fourth.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

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#9 User is offline   Gerben42 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 08:26

I'm torn between leading my 4th and 5th . Who is my partner?
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#10 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 09:20

Walddk, on Jul 10 2007, 02:03 PM, said:

FrancesHinden, on Jul 10 2007, 02:09 PM, said:

4th highest of my longest and strongest

I disagree strongly. I would lead my 5th best diamond :D

Roland

OK, in one partnership I would lead my lowest diamond as we play attitude leads.

Let me rephrase:

Systemic low diamond
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#11 User is offline   bid_em_up 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 09:45

I think a diamond is the worst possible lead you can make, for several reasons.

Even if you establish the suit, you have no entry to cash it.
Partner is marked for some HCP on the auction, we should try to find his suit.
If a diamond was correct, we wouldn't be seeing this question here. :D

My gut feeling is to lead a club, even given the fact that a diamond looks "normal".

jmoo.
Is the word "pass" not in your vocabulary?
So many experts, not enough X cards.
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#12 User is offline   jtfanclub 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 10:11

If I had a singleton heart, since both opponents have denied hearts, I would happily lead them.
If I had a doubleton heart, I would probably lead them. Partner might still have 5.
With three hearts...well, looks like they'll be split around. Not much point.
Leading clubs seems like the most likely lead to be disasterous. Responder could easily have an 8 count and a club suit on the auction.
Leading spades is right out.

That leaves, um, whatever that other suit is. If nothing else, it tells partner (who it seems likely has a full opener) that there's one suit he doesn't need to protect.
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#13 User is offline   TimG 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 10:12

bid_em_up, on Jul 10 2007, 10:45 AM, said:

If a diamond was correct, we wouldn't be seeing this question here. :D

Maybe someone thought it was obvious not to lead a diamond and a disagreement ensued.
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#14 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 11:37

Jlall, on Jul 10 2007, 01:43 PM, said:

No offense to anyone but I consider not leading a diamond to be horrible.

I'm a strong believer in leading my best suit on this sort of auction, whether or not I've got all the high cards.

Obviously it's not always right, but I've gained a surprising number of game swings in when the layout is something resembling this:

AKJxx
Kxx
Ax
Qxx

Qx
QJxx
Jxx
AJxx,

never mind this:

AKxxx
Ax
xxx
AQx

Qx
Kxxx
Jx
KJxxx
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#15 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 11:55

bid_em_up, on Jul 10 2007, 07:45 AM, said:

I think a diamond is the worst possible lead you can make, for several reasons.


Wow - not a lot of ambivalence :D

Pard didn't overcall over 1 with a fair amount of strength, so pard appears to not have a 5 card major. A diamond is pretty obvious. Pard can still have length in diamonds, or we may catch an Ax.

[
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#16 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 12:11

bid_em_up, on Jul 10 2007, 10:45 AM, said:

If a diamond was correct, we wouldn't be seeing this question here. :D

That is the only objection to a diamond lead that makes any sense at all :( a diamond is the only lead that isn't ridiculous.
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#17 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 12:26

pclayton, on Jul 10 2007, 05:55 PM, said:

bid_em_up, on Jul 10 2007, 07:45 AM, said:

I think a diamond is the worst possible lead you can make, for several reasons.


Wow - not a lot of ambivalence B)

Pard didn't overcall over 1 with a fair amount of strength, so pard appears to not have a 5 card major. A diamond is pretty obvious. Pard can still have length in diamonds, or we may catch an Ax.

[

You saw the bidding wrong.


I always lead my longest suit in here. There is a good point for leading the incorrect card from a 5 card suit when you have no entries (specially at MP)
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#18 User is offline   Trumpace 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 12:44

FrancesHinden, on Jul 10 2007, 12:37 PM, said:

Jlall, on Jul 10 2007, 01:43 PM, said:

No offense to anyone but I consider not leading a diamond to be horrible.

I'm a strong believer in leading my best suit on this sort of auction, whether or not I've got all the high cards.

Obviously it's not always right, but I've gained a surprising number of game swings in when the layout is something resembling this:

<snip>

But, isn't this a matchpoint lead problem? How does previous experience in game swings justify it here?

(I am not saying diamond is incorrect, just being nitpicky B) )
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#19 User is offline   ochinko 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 13:59

bid_em_up, on Jul 10 2007, 06:45 PM, said:

I think a diamond is the worst possible lead you can make, for several reasons.

Even if you establish the suit, you have no entry to cash it.
Partner is marked for some HCP on the auction, we should try to find his suit.
If a diamond was correct, we wouldn't be seeing this question here.  B)

My gut feeling is to lead a club, even given the fact that a diamond looks "normal".

jmoo.

Did you see that the scoring was MP? Even if isn't the setting lead, which I agree is quite possible given that you have no outside entries, it is still the safest lead.

If a diamond is not right, yet you lead it, you'll still get around 50% as that is what I expect most defenders will lead.

If you lead another suit, and it's not right, you'll be closer to 0%, as you'll be a lonely swimmer against the current.

I would give some thought to my highest heart at IMPs, but here I prefer to be lazy/cautious.
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#20 User is offline   bid_em_up 

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Posted 2007-July-10, 15:11

What part of this:

If a diamond was correct, we wouldn't be seeing this question here. B)

is everyone failing to understand?!?!

I will lead a club, only because a diamond is so clearly right, that the only reason the question is even posted here is that somebody led a diamond, it turned out to be wrong, and some other lead was "right".

At least that was my take on it, anyway.
Is the word "pass" not in your vocabulary?
So many experts, not enough X cards.
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