3nt lead
#1
Posted 2007-July-10, 04:42
you deal and pass and opps bid:
1♠-1NT
2NT-3NT
what would you lead from
94
632
Q9832
762
?
George Carlin
#3
Posted 2007-July-10, 06:26
#4 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2007-July-10, 06:43
#5
Posted 2007-July-10, 06:59
#6
Posted 2007-July-10, 07:01
-P.J. Painter.
#7
Posted 2007-July-10, 07:03
FrancesHinden, on Jul 10 2007, 02:09 PM, said:
I disagree strongly. I would lead my 5th best diamond
Roland
#8
Posted 2007-July-10, 07:55
- hrothgar
#10
Posted 2007-July-10, 09:20
Walddk, on Jul 10 2007, 02:03 PM, said:
FrancesHinden, on Jul 10 2007, 02:09 PM, said:
I disagree strongly. I would lead my 5th best diamond
Roland
OK, in one partnership I would lead my lowest diamond as we play attitude leads.
Let me rephrase:
Systemic low diamond
#11
Posted 2007-July-10, 09:45
Even if you establish the suit, you have no entry to cash it.
Partner is marked for some HCP on the auction, we should try to find his suit.
If a diamond was correct, we wouldn't be seeing this question here.
My gut feeling is to lead a club, even given the fact that a diamond looks "normal".
jmoo.
So many experts, not enough X cards.
#12
Posted 2007-July-10, 10:11
If I had a doubleton heart, I would probably lead them. Partner might still have 5.
With three hearts...well, looks like they'll be split around. Not much point.
Leading clubs seems like the most likely lead to be disasterous. Responder could easily have an 8 count and a club suit on the auction.
Leading spades is right out.
That leaves, um, whatever that other suit is. If nothing else, it tells partner (who it seems likely has a full opener) that there's one suit he doesn't need to protect.
#13
Posted 2007-July-10, 10:12
bid_em_up, on Jul 10 2007, 10:45 AM, said:
Maybe someone thought it was obvious not to lead a diamond and a disagreement ensued.
#14
Posted 2007-July-10, 11:37
Jlall, on Jul 10 2007, 01:43 PM, said:
I'm a strong believer in leading my best suit on this sort of auction, whether or not I've got all the high cards.
Obviously it's not always right, but I've gained a surprising number of game swings in when the layout is something resembling this:
AKJxx
Kxx
Ax
Qxx
Qx
QJxx
Jxx
AJxx,
never mind this:
AKxxx
Ax
xxx
AQx
Qx
Kxxx
Jx
KJxxx
#15
Posted 2007-July-10, 11:55
bid_em_up, on Jul 10 2007, 07:45 AM, said:
Wow - not a lot of ambivalence
Pard didn't overcall over 1♣ with a fair amount of strength, so pard appears to not have a 5 card major. A diamond is pretty obvious. Pard can still have length in diamonds, or we may catch an Ax.
[
#16
Posted 2007-July-10, 12:11
bid_em_up, on Jul 10 2007, 10:45 AM, said:
That is the only objection to a diamond lead that makes any sense at all
#17
Posted 2007-July-10, 12:26
pclayton, on Jul 10 2007, 05:55 PM, said:
bid_em_up, on Jul 10 2007, 07:45 AM, said:
Wow - not a lot of ambivalence
Pard didn't overcall over 1♣ with a fair amount of strength, so pard appears to not have a 5 card major. A diamond is pretty obvious. Pard can still have length in diamonds, or we may catch an Ax.
[
You saw the bidding wrong.
I always lead my longest suit in here. There is a good point for leading the incorrect card from a 5 card suit when you have no entries (specially at MP)
#18
Posted 2007-July-10, 12:44
FrancesHinden, on Jul 10 2007, 12:37 PM, said:
Jlall, on Jul 10 2007, 01:43 PM, said:
I'm a strong believer in leading my best suit on this sort of auction, whether or not I've got all the high cards.
Obviously it's not always right, but I've gained a surprising number of game swings in when the layout is something resembling this:
<snip>
But, isn't this a matchpoint lead problem? How does previous experience in game swings justify it here?
(I am not saying diamond is incorrect, just being nitpicky
#19
Posted 2007-July-10, 13:59
bid_em_up, on Jul 10 2007, 06:45 PM, said:
Even if you establish the suit, you have no entry to cash it.
Partner is marked for some HCP on the auction, we should try to find his suit.
If a diamond was correct, we wouldn't be seeing this question here.
My gut feeling is to lead a club, even given the fact that a diamond looks "normal".
jmoo.
Did you see that the scoring was MP? Even if ♦ isn't the setting lead, which I agree is quite possible given that you have no outside entries, it is still the safest lead.
If a diamond is not right, yet you lead it, you'll still get around 50% as that is what I expect most defenders will lead.
If you lead another suit, and it's not right, you'll be closer to 0%, as you'll be a lonely swimmer against the current.
I would give some thought to my highest heart at IMPs, but here I prefer to be lazy/cautious.
#20
Posted 2007-July-10, 15:11
If a diamond was correct, we wouldn't be seeing this question here.
is everyone failing to understand?!?!
I will lead a club, only because a diamond is so clearly right, that the only reason the question is even posted here is that somebody led a diamond, it turned out to be wrong, and some other lead was "right".
At least that was my take on it, anyway.
So many experts, not enough X cards.

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