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Michaels

#1 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2007-May-12, 21:28

A friend asked me about this hand:

Qxx
xx
KJ10xxx
Kx

none vul, IMPs

(1H)-2H-(p)-2S
(3H)-3S-(4H)-??

You play that Michaels shows either a good or a bad hand. Do you agree with 2!s? What's your call now?
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

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#2 User is offline   Rebound 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 06:12

Well, with my record lately I should probably keep this to myself but just for fun I'm going to jump in and say I'd call 4.

Theoretically, partner needs the better hand type to bid over 3 (in which case 4 is a no-brainer, if you ask me) but the 4 call argues against this in my mind. On the other hand, depending on the quality of partner's minor suit, say, Qxxxx it may not be too bad in any case. If partner does have a poor hand, 4 looks to be making so if it all goes to pot and you're down 3 doubled, the imp loss would be a small one.

Incidentally, I agree with 2. I can understand the value of inquiring about partner's minor first; although it's expected to be clubs, stranger things have happened than for you to have a 10-card minor fit on this hand. However, partner is more often than not going to have the weak hand type and then the in quick-out quick principle ought to apply.
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#3 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 07:30

Does the cue promise 5-5?

For whats it worth, I pass, I have
enough defence, I dont believe 4H
makes, and I dont believe we make
4S.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#4 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 07:52

4S. If partner is willing to contract for 9 tricks, one of my minor kings has to be gold and my spade Q is elevated. If 4S doesn't have a reasonable play then partner's bid was wrong.
"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."
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#5 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 08:31

Winstonm, on May 13 2007, 01:52 PM, said:

4S. If partner is willing to contract for 9 tricks, one of my minor kings has to be gold and my spade Q is elevated. If 4S doesn't have a reasonable play then partner's bid was wrong.

I think the same
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#6 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 08:38

I'll agree, definitely 4. Just think how much worse this hand could have been, we might even have had a doubleton for our 2 bid.

I also agree with our 2 bid, it just happens to be pretty maximum for that choice.
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#7 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 10:09

Yes - 4. Pard shouldn't be bidding 3 on some maxi-min, or a hand where he has a min with an 11th card somewhere.

If pard has a max; I'm a little worried about missing a slam.
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#8 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 11:10

I would have bid 2N over 2. It is not that I am looking for a magic fit, altho I wouldn't object to learning about it if it exists, but that I intend to make an invitational 3 bid next: I see this hand as too good for 2..... AJ10xx x xx Axxxx gives me some play for game, and he'd have a (slightly)better hand than that to accept... at least, the way I play michaels.


Having underbid at my first turn, then, if I trust partner, I have to bid 4. His 3 bid, if based solely on a desire to compete, was a mistake... after all, there is no way he can play me for such working cards... he can, probably, play me for some values on the auction, but not such prime ones.
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#9 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 11:19

Thanks for your posts, my friend also bid 4S and his partner gave him a hard time about it. I also thought that 4S was automatic much for the same reasons.

Partner's hand was AK109x x xx Axxxx and 4S does have some play. Do you think that this qualifies as a "bad" hand playing G/B? Is this what you would expect for the 3S bid? What would a double of 3H show?
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#10 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 11:33

Playing Good / Bad Michaels, I think your friend's hand is a clear tweener. The spades are a lot better than the clubs, so there's less incentive to look for a club contract.

If he overcalls 1, I imagine that RHO overcalls and we can bid a heavy 2 or overbid slightly with 3. These hands mesh well and I wouldn't be surprised if many miss game.

A double of 3 would normally be maximal, but this cuts into the 3 = max argument, so perhaps 3 should be a maxi-min ;)
"Phil" on BBO
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#11 User is offline   Trinidad 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 12:03

Hannie, on May 13 2007, 12:19 PM, said:

Thanks for your posts, my friend also bid 4S and his partner gave him a hard time about it. I also thought that 4S was automatic much for the same reasons.

Partner's hand was AK109x x xx Axxxx and 4S does have some play. Do you think that this qualifies as a "bad" hand playing G/B? Is this what you would expect for the 3S bid? What would a double of 3H show?

Partner made the classic error of believing that I showed spades when I bid 2. Well, I didn't show any spades. I picked the suit that he already showed and it could just be the least of evils. I could have had a 1561 distribution for my 2 bid.

To me partner's 3 bid doesn't show a maximum hand. It shows the minimum version with extra distribution, happy that you picked spades and suggesting a save against their contract. A save is automatic, given that you have (undisclosed!) three card support for partner.

If partner wants to show a maximum hand with 5-5, he will double. If partner has a nice freak, he will cuebid or show his minor.

As an aside, I also play Michaels as weak or strong and partner's hand couldn't be more "in between". A simple 1 overcall would have been much better than a Michaels cue.

Rik
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#12 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 12:06

Phil is dead on, and some of the problem may be in the thinking about the meaning of strong/weak. The weak should not be thought of as weak in high cards compared to strong but rather weak in high cards and strong in playability.

Maybe another way to get this point across is to describe the holdings as strong and defensively weak rather than strong and weak. For some, the idea of weak just means 11 points, whether an AK A or KQ, KQJ.
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#13 User is offline   jtfanclub 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 12:11

Hannie, on May 13 2007, 12:19 PM, said:

Partner's hand was AK109x x xx Axxxx and 4S does have some play.

So does 4.

It would be nice if 3 said 'I know what I'm going to do over 4', since the auction may very well die at 3 if he doesn't make another call. I mean, seriously, was he planning on X'ing 4 if it came back around to him? Or did he just mindlessly push them to game?
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#14 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 12:37

Hannie, on May 13 2007, 12:19 PM, said:

Thanks for your posts, my friend also bid 4S and his partner gave him a hard time about it. I also thought that 4S was automatic much for the same reasons.

Partner's hand was AK109x x xx Axxxx and 4S does have some play. Do you think that this qualifies as a "bad" hand playing G/B? Is this what you would expect for the 3S bid? What would a double of 3H show?

Think one spade, never 2s, overcall is clear and easy. Sure partner may play us for 5 spades some outside hcp and some shape but I think we need to take that risk. If you play one spade overcalls deny a two suiter we got a problem.

Perhaps if we keep the bidding one level lower we may learn something by listening.
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#15 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 13:32

I interpret pard's 3 as an invite to a save. I'll accept and "save" in 4 ;)
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#16 User is offline   Rebound 

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Posted 2007-May-13, 22:28

Hannie, on May 13 2007, 01:19 PM, said:

Thanks for your posts, my friend also bid 4S and his partner gave him a hard time about it. I also thought that 4S was automatic much for the same reasons.

Partner's hand was AK109x x xx Axxxx and 4S does have some play. Do you think that this qualifies as a "bad" hand playing G/B? Is this what you would expect for the 3S bid? What would a double of 3H show?

This is strictly the opinion of an amateur, of course, but I think the given hand is just wrong for a micheals call, it is both too strong for a weak 2 and not good enough for a strong one. The rest of the auction bears this out.
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#17 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2007-May-14, 00:55

I agree with rebound, not the hand for weak/strong michaels, and not the hand for 3 that bid needs at least a 6th spade, or at least something you haven't already bid.
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#18 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2007-May-14, 13:17

I agree with 2 initially. To show the strong hand partner should double 3. Thus 3 shows a "good" bad - that means maybe 6-5 and good interiors. The hand he held didn't fit the description - it's inbetween, and should overcall 1. Before seeing partner's hand I expected opps to make 4. I'd bid 4 as a save. On a good day it might make too.
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#19 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-May-14, 14:27

skaeran, on May 14 2007, 02:17 PM, said:

I agree with 2 initially. To show the strong hand partner should double 3. Thus 3 shows a "good" bad - that means maybe 6-5 and good interiors. The hand he held didn't fit the description - it's inbetween, and should overcall 1. Before seeing partner's hand I expected opps to make 4. I'd bid 4 as a save. On a good day it might make too.

I agree with this 100%, to me it is the most accurate post yet on this topic.
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#20 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2007-May-16, 11:10

Hannie, on May 13 2007, 01:19 PM, said:

Partner's hand was AK109x x xx Axxxx

3 was not a good bid. This hand isn't even close to what I'd expect.
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