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Missing something obvious again? hold-up

#1 User is offline   grbradt 

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Posted 2006-April-25, 18:04

Here is an example from Watson's Play of the Hand. Contract is 3NT, and west opening lead is 4, and east plays Q. Watson now comments that "By applying the Rule of Eleven on his own behalf, the Declarer can see that a hold-up in hearts will do him no good". I don't understand this, east has at least 3 hearts, but if suit divides 6-3 a hold-up would work if the spade finesse fails...I agree going up with the A and hoping the J-9 develop into a second stopper is probably the percentage play, but what does rule of eleven have to do with it?

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#2 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2006-April-26, 01:26

I also don't see why hearts can't be 6-3, although the odds favour them to be 5-4 (LHO can have 5 hearts in lots more ways than he can have 6, where he has to have the 432 of the suit if it's a genuine 4th highest).

Minor point: if you take the first heart, remember to start with the ace of spades in case RHO has singleton king.

Watson might have wondered what was wrong with 4S as a contract.
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